THE GROFF/ELLISON POLITICAL REPORT

1, 2 Step

Posted in Uncategorized by groffellison on August 19, 2008

The Politico reported today that presumptive Republican nominee Sen. John McCain will announce his Vice Presidential pick one day after his fall opponent Sen. Barack Obama accepts his party’s standard before an anticipated crowd of 80,000. 

Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) plans to celebrate his 72nd birthday on Aug. 29 by naming his running mate at a huge rally in the battleground state of Ohio, Republican sources said…The campaign has begun building a crowd of 10,000 for Dayton, Ohio, according to an organizer. McCain is scheduled to appear with his running mate at a large-scale event in Pennsylvania shortly thereafter.

The McCain event has to be designed in part to step on the bounce that Obama may get out of Denver after his convention.  Most candidates enjoy a brief increase in the polls and media attention after a nominating convention.  But since the GOP is holding their party’s soiree just four days after the Democratic party the bounce period for Obama was shortened anyhow.  The McCain campaign is wise to step on the bounce and draw some attention away from Obama with their own massive rally, patriotic images and major announcement.

The Ohio rally and Pennsylvania follow up (maybe the nod will go to former Keystone Governor Tom Ridge after all) will draw a great deal of media attention and may dampen what the Obama effort hopes will be stunning pictures, images and speech less than 24 hours before.   

If something goes wrong in Denver and McCain is flawless in Ohio and Pennslyvania it will be a tremendous boost for the GOP going into Minneapolis.  There is certainly an enthusiasm gap between the two parties as the conventions begin and it seems everyday as if a Republican Senator saying he has decided not attend the festivities.  So any created advantage for the McCain camp going into Minnesota makes sense and for them that is the beauty of going second.

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