THE GROFF/ELLISON POLITICAL REPORT

Is Obama Closing In On The Nomination?…He Thinks So

Posted in Uncategorized by groffellison on May 28, 2008

We have been saying for the past couple of weeks that Sen. Barack Obama had pivoted away from his primary contest with Sen. Hillary Clinton and had engaged presumptive GOP nominee Sen. John McCain in a shadow debate as he waited for primaries to end, Clinton to quit and the superdelegates to make it official. 

Well the primaries end in a week and according to the Obama campaign he is poised to actually capture the nomination or at least the requisite number of delegates to secure it.  The campaign thinks that after Puerto Rico votes on Sunday and Montana and South Dakota go to the polls on June 3rd Obama will be tantalizingly close and then you can expect a rush of superdelegate commitments to be revealed by the campaign in the days right after 3rd.  Reports have it that the Obama campaign has stashed commitments and will release them after Montana and South Dakota to push him over the top…at least at the current magic number.  

 The magic number currently is 2026, but the Democratic National Committee’s Rules and By-Laws committee is meeting on Saturday to determine what to do about Florida and Michigan.  Any addition of those states’ delegates could change that number and keep Obama from claiming the presumptive nomination and force him to continue his shadow dancing with McCain as the Democratic race drags on.   

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